National Geographic 2004 article (Katrina)of Louisinia. Secular Katrina prediction in 2004
National Geographic 2004 article (Katrina)of Louisinia. Secular Katrina prediction in 2004
Hi Paula4jc...!I read that article too. Here is an even older article from Popular Mechanics (from September 11, 2001):http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/research/1282151.html...and another from Scientific American (from October 2001):http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa006&articleID=00060286-CB58-1315-8B5883414B7F0000&pageNumber=1&catID=2...and yet another from the Houston Chronicle (in December 2001): http://www.hurricane.lsu.edu/_in_the_news/houston.htm...and here is an almost completely accurate story found in Civil Engineering Magazine (from June 2003):http://www.pubs.asce.org/ceonline/ceonline03/0603feat.htmlHere is a quote from that article:"The design of the original levees, which dates to the 1960s, was based on rudimentary storm modeling that, it is now realized, might underestimate the threat of a potential hurricane. Even if the modeling was adequate, however, the levees were designed to withstand only forces associated with a fast-moving hurricane that, according to the National Weather Service’s Saffir-Simpson scale, would be placed in category 3. If a lingering category 3 storm — or a stronger storm, say, category 4 or 5 — were to hit the city, much of New Orleans could find itself under more than 20 ft (6 m) of water."It just confirms what Leonard Ravenhill used to say: "The only thing we learn from history is that we don't learn from history." :-)
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